WTNT74 KNHC 090238
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI SEP 08 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT MON SEP 11 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.5N  93.3W      33  X  X  X 33   PORT ARTHUR TX    70  X  X  X 70
 0.0N   0.0W      99  X  X  X 99   GALVESTON TX      65  X  X  X 65
 0.0N   0.0W      99  X  X  X 99   FREEPORT TX       43  X  X  X 43
GULFPORT MS        3  X  X  X  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   2  X  X  X  2
BURAS LA           2  X  X  X  2   GULF 28N 91W       8  X  X  X  8
NEW ORLEANS LA    13  X  X  X 13   GULF 28N 93W      99  X  X  X 99
NEW IBERIA LA     56  X  X  X 56   GULF 28N 95W      79  X  X  X 79
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
C FROM  7AM SUN TO  7PM SUN
D FROM  7PM SUN TO  7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 


WTNT34 KNHC 090238
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI SEP 08 2000

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED OVER THE
NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE BROAD AND ILL-DEFINED CENTER OF THE
TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE

93.5 WEST OR ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTH OF CAMERON LOUISIANA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THE
REST OF TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12
HOURS UNTIL LANDFALL...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING AFTERWARDS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
THE MAIN THREATS FROM THIS DEPRESSION WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND
COASTAL FLOODING.  INTERESTS ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL AREAS SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE BROAD
CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 7 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG
AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE WEST OF
WHERE THE CENTER TRACKS.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG WELL
EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...29.0 N... 93.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 4 AM CDT...SATURDAY.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
  


WTNT24 KNHC 090236
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0900
0300Z SAT SEP 09 2000
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  93.5W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  93.5W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  93.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 30.5N  93.5W...INLAND AND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.5N  93.3W...INLAND AND DISSIPATED
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED MAINLY ALONG AND
WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.0N  93.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
  


WTNT34 KNHC 082353
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT FRI SEP 08 2000

...CORRECTED TO INCLUDE HEADLINE...

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORMS IN THE NORTHWEST GULF OF MEXICO...
 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.5 WEST OR 
ABOUT 95 MILES...155 KM...SOUTH OF CAMERON LOUISIANA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TONIGHT AND DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL ON
SATURDAY...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

THE MAIN THREATS FROM THIS DEPRESSION WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND 
COASTAL FLOODING.  INTERESTS ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL AREAS SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE BROAD
CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG
AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE WEST OF
WHERE THE CENTER TRACKS.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...28.5 N... 93.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 10 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 


WTNT74 KNHC 082349
SPFAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT FRI SEP 08 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT MON SEP 11 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
32.6N  93.3W      33  X  X  X 33   PORT ARTHUR TX    70  X  X  X 70
 0.0N   0.0W      99  X  X  X 99   GALVESTON TX      65  X  X  X 65
 0.0N   0.0W      99  X  X  X 99   FREEPORT TX       43  X  X  X 43
GULFPORT MS        3  X  X  X  3   PORT O CONNOR TX   2  X  X  X  2
BURAS LA           2  X  X  X  2   GULF 28N 91W       8  X  X  X  8
NEW ORLEANS LA    13  X  X  X 13   GULF 28N 93W      99  X  X  X 99
NEW IBERIA LA     56  X  X  X 56   GULF 28N 95W      79  X  X  X 79
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM SAT TO  7AM SUN
C FROM  7AM SUN TO  7PM SUN
D FROM  7PM SUN TO  7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 


WTNT34 KNHC 082347
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT FRI SEP 08 2000
 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.5 WEST OR 
ABOUT 95 MILES...155 KM...SOUTH OF CAMERON LOUISIANA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TONIGHT AND DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL ON
SATURDAY...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING AFTER LANDFALL.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

THE MAIN THREATS FROM THIS DEPRESSION WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND 
COASTAL FLOODING.  INTERESTS ALONG THE LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL AREAS SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT LOCATION OF THE BROAD
CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG
AND TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE WEST OF
WHERE THE CENTER TRACKS.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...28.5 N... 93.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 10 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 


WTNT24 KNHC 082335
TCMAT4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0900
0000Z SAT SEP 09 2000
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  93.5W AT 09/0000Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.5N  93.5W AT 09/0000Z
AT 08/2100Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  93.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 30.5N  93.5W...INLAND DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 32.6N  93.3W...INLAND DISSIPATED
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.5N  93.5W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART